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Market Digest Nigeria

Finance

Naira Appreciates at NAFEX window to N385.80/$1

Forex turnover declined by 57% as Nigeria’s exchange rate at the NAFEX window appreciated for the first time after being stable for six consecutive trading days to close at N385.80/$1 during intraday trading on Tuesday, September 22.

Also, the naira remained stable for the second consecutive trading day closing at N465/$1 at the parallel market

Parallel Market: At the black market where forex is traded unofficially, the Naira remained stable against the dollar to close at N465/$1 on Tuesday, according to information from Abokifx, a prominent FX tracking website. This was the same rate that it exchanged on Monday, September 21.

Currency Developments

  • The local currency has strengthened by about 7.8% within the last one week at the black market, as the Central Bank of Nigeria introduced some measures targeted at exporters and importers in order to try to boost the supply of dollars in the foreign exchange market and reduce the high demand for forex by traders.
  • The CBN has sold over $150 million to BDCs since the resumed forex sales on Monday, September 7, 2020. This was expected to inject more liquidity to the retail end of the foreign exchange market and discourage hoarding and speculation.
  • However, the exchange rate against the dollar has failed to sustain the initial gains made after the CBN announced plans to provide liquidity.
  • BDC operators have urged the apex bank to reconsider the margin allowed for the currency traders as it was inadequate to meet their expenses.
  • We also noted that forex traders monitored during the previous week appear to hoard forex as they anticipated further depreciation in the market.
  • There has been a drop in speculative buying of foreign exchange, although demand backlog by manufacturers and foreign investors still puts pressure and creates a volatile situation in the foreign exchange market.

NAFEX: The Naira appreciated against the dollar at the Investors and Exporters (I&E) window on Tuesday, closing at N385.80/$1.

  • This represents a 20 kobo gain when compared to the N386/$1 that it exchanged for on Monday, September 21.
  • The opening indicative rate was N386.70 to a dollar on Tuesday. This represents a 55 kobo drop when compared to the N386.15 to a dollar that was recorded on Monday.
  • The N392.50 to a dollar is the highest rate during intraday trading before closing at the rate of N386/$1. It also sold for as low as N379.85/$1 during intraday trading.

Forex Turnover: Forex turnover at the Investor and Exporters (I&E) window declined by 56.8% on Tuesday, September 22, 2020.

  • According to the data tracked by Nairametrics from FMDQ, forex turnover dropped from $68.14 million on Monday, September 21, 2020, to $29.42 million on Tuesday, September 22, 2020.
  • The CBN had in the past few weeks moved to clear the huge backlog of foreign exchange demand, especially by foreign investors wishing to repatriate back their funds.
  • The significant drop in forex supply reinforces the volatility of the foreign exchange market. The supply of dollars has been on a decline for months due to low oil prices and the absence of foreign capital inflow into the country.
  • The average daily forex sale for last week was about $34.5 million which represents a drop from the $58.52 million that was recorded the previous week.
  • Total forex trading at the NAFEX window in the month of August was about $857 million compared to $937 million in July.
  • The CBN in the latest report on Monetary, credit, foreign trade and exchange policy guidelines for fiscal year 2020/2021, lamented that forex market pressure which is as a result of speculative activities in the BDC and I & E segments of the foreign exchange market is expected to exert more pressure on the naira exchange rate.

NAIRAMETRICS

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